Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.010303 0.012293 0.014733 0.018001 0.022359 0.028112 0.036540
2025-07-27 0.007801 0.010086 0.013239 0.018100 0.025808 0.038382 0.062623
2025-08-03 0.006482 0.008820 0.012305 0.018232 0.028940 0.049757 0.101866
2025-08-10 0.005476 0.007709 0.011219 0.017622 0.030384 0.059018 0.150315
2025-08-17 0.004670 0.006731 0.010093 0.016545 0.030396 0.065270 0.203598
2025-08-24 0.004088 0.006008 0.009237 0.015706 0.030532 0.072085 0.278847
2025-08-31 0.003791 0.005700 0.009032 0.016070 0.033597 0.090381 0.492860
2025-09-07 0.003441 0.005254 0.008497 0.015601 0.034375 0.102269 0.762882
2025-09-14 0.003124 0.004827 0.007932 0.014931 0.034341 0.111437 1.139253
2025-09-21 0.002924 0.004583 0.007681 0.014922 0.036283 0.132654 2.297411
2025-09-28 0.002818 0.004497 0.007725 0.015625 0.040914 0.177645 9.080785
2025-10-05 0.002783 0.004534 0.008025 0.017063 0.049192 0.274204 928.719505
2025-10-12 0.002655 0.004401 0.007984 0.017710 0.055650 0.400073 NaN
2025-10-19 0.002496 0.004192 0.007750 0.017775 0.059962 0.546363 NaN
2025-10-26 0.002360 0.004012 0.007554 0.017902 0.064920 0.777490 NaN
2025-11-02 0.002197 0.003762 0.007161 0.017306 0.065637 0.949535 NaN
2025-11-09 0.002026 0.003482 0.006662 0.016256 0.063039 1.008132 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001885 0.003251 0.006258 0.015437 0.061423 1.109808 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001818 0.003170 0.006204 0.015792 0.067776 1.834184 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001716 0.003009 0.005936 0.015334 0.068289 2.319671 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001615 0.002840 0.005629 0.014680 0.066942 2.664348 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001551 0.002747 0.005507 0.014671 0.070711 4.278866 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001521 0.002726 0.005564 0.015358 0.081404 12.803510 NaN